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Many NY politicians, members of the media and environmentalists see wind power as an all-encompassing solution to global warming, energy independence, as well initiating massive job creation. Are these rosy expectations supported by scientific facts and wind project performance?
A recent AP article stated that New York currently has about 700 Megawatts of installed wind capacity, less than the output of a single large nuclear plant. The article states that New York has the potential for up to 7000 MW of installed capacity. The catch here is the vast difference between installed capacity and actual production.
Two North Country wind projects went on line in April -- Noble Clinton with an installed capacity of 100.5 MW and Noble Ellenburgh with an installed capacity of 81 MW. The 2nd quarter Clinton output averaged 12.9 MW and the 3rd quarter output was 11.7 MW. Noble Ellenburgh’s 2nd quarter average was 13.2 MW and 10.4 MW for the 3rd quarter. Those figure represent an overall performance of only 13.4% of capacity rating.
Wind developers have consistently claimed their turbines will operate in the 30-35% of capacity range. Early indications suggest that realistically they will produce only half that. Add to a low efficiency many hours of zero production and a complete lack of dependability, wind is the most unpredictable of all generating methods.
Both North Country wind projects average over 200 hours of zero output for the 2nd quarter and nearly 300 hrs for the 3rd quarter or about 10% to 14% of the time producing no power. This means on average no power is produced for more than 2 hours each day! Even larger blocks of time involve production of less than 1% of rated capacity. The extreme variability of wind power makes it totally unsuitable for baseload power.
The northern New York wind projects are yielding a very low return on their investment, averaging less than 4% before expenses according to The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.
We have to ask why would a wind developer build spend about $ 3 million per turbine in an area with winds less than the minimum recommended by NYSERDA? The answer seems to be that the real goal of NY wind projects is not cheap renewable power but rather the sale of tax credits and green credits. Is wind power really just an elaborate tax break?
Ostensibly created to allow struggling wind companies to lower their tax burden, tax credits are sold to corporations and investors because wind company write-offs -- particularly double declining balance depreciation -- are so lucrative.
While NY is cutting funds to hospital, nursing homes and schools it continues to subsidize wind power.
Is wind power really a clean, effective method to reduce global warming? While wind turbines are non-polluting once they are up and running, the manufacture, transport and construction of a wind turbine produces thousands of tons of carbon based emissions. Every step from mining the ore to make the steel, moving parts by ship or overland and constructing access roads to running giant cranes and excavators creates emissions. Building the access roads alone produces nearly ten thousand tons of emissions.
The problem of mercury pollution associated with wind projects is rarely mentioned. However, it is a known fact among environmental experts that the production of cement produces large amounts of mercury released from the limestone used as the raw material, the median amount being 1.5 lbs. of mercury per ton of cement. Each turbine base requires over a million pounds of concrete –you do the math!
Since NY has relatively low winds (only 1/50th of some western states) a wind project may never pay back its carbon debt. In many areas of NY hydropower would have to be shut down to accommodate wind [re-state reason; original wording didn’t make sense.]
Add to the above there are the problems of property devaluation, scenic blight, bird and bat kills, wildlife habitat fragmentation, human health risks highlighted by recent studies on Wind Turbine Syndrome. There is also the danger from turbines built too close to roads or homes, thereby threatening potential ice throw or blade disintegration. Another question is whether there is too much potential for unethical business dealings between officials who control wind projects and the developers.
Coupled with the major disadvantages of too little wind and too many people, it is little wonder that more informed people are starting to question whether industrial wind turbines belong in New York State.
*****
Jack Sullivan holds a Masters in Nuclear Physics from Cornell University, has done advanced studies in environmental science and is a former educator and business owner. He is currently a town councilor in Malone, NY the 1st town in the state to ban industrial wind turbines, presently over a dozen have done so.
Sorry, comments are closed for this article.
December 14th, 2008 at 08:38 AM Thank you for helping to expose the wind turbine fleecing of taxpayers, consumers and environmentalists.
December 15th, 2008 at 10:55 AM Dear Mr. Sullivan, Thank you for your informative article. We are currently struggling against the wind turbine companies that wish to construct 50 or more turbines in our rural area of Wyoming county (NY). Our property is located on a large reservoir that serves as drinking water for The Village of Attica, N.Y. as well as Attica Prison. There are plans to construct wind-turbines within the water shed of this reservoir. I have contacted local officials regarding this matter. I would appreciate any information you may have that will encourage the town officials to take action in order to prevent construction near the source of drinking water. Thank you Joe Z
December 15th, 2008 at 09:38 PM Mr. Sullivan - It is incredible to me that our policy makers in Albany and Washington, D.C. continue to ignore the facts about industrial wind development that you so clearly list in your editorial. It is a gross misuse of public funds to subsidize this industry at any time, much less during the current economic crisis. We need to support reliable, controllable alternative energy sources, not waste billions of dollars on an industry that has simply not performed as advertised. Thank you for your excellent editorial.
December 16th, 2008 at 11:18 AM I found your excellent article on National Wind Watch.org and reprinted it on SaveRoxbury.org. The beautiful mountains of western Maine are being aggressively targeted by the wind industry. While there does not appear to be enough wind to justify turbines in our area, (we get our wind from New York after all) there is a very strong political headwind that is effectively greasing the skids for this industry. Unless there is a well funded campaign to counter the "convenient untruths" of the wind industry and expose the fraudulent basis for its claim to taxpayer funded subsidies what hope do we have of stopping wind farm sprawl?
December 17th, 2008 at 05:19 PM There is a huge error in Mr. Sullivan's estimate that a ton of cement is responsible for 1.5 pounds of mercury released into atmosphere. In 2007 over 120-million tons of Portland cement was produced in the US, yet the EPA estimates that all 116 cement kilns operating in US emitted a total of 12,000 pounds of mercury (i.e., a ton of cement contributes on average only .0001 pound of mercury - NOT 1.5 pounds). Mr. Sullivan emplores us to "do the math" to calculate the mercury emissions due to erecting a single huge wind turbine but unfortunately he doesn't say what proportion of its foundation's supposed 500+ tons of concrete is comprised of cement. Sadly, too many folks reading his op-ed won't understand that cement is a relatively minor component of concrete (by weight), and fewer still will figure out that the mercury isn't coming from the cement - but instead from the coal which is burned to make cement.
December 18th, 2008 at 03:26 PM Both proponents and detractors of wind energy facilities in New York state hold very strong opinions about the technology and the industry. It is fair to point out the benefits and disadvantages of any power source. None, to my knowledge, alternative or conventional, offers the complete "silver bullet" package of a low or no cost non-exhaustive fuel source, 100% reliability, technological readiness and scalability, AND negligible environmental (writ large) impact. Clifford Rohde http://windpowerlaw.wordpress.com
December 19th, 2008 at 07:17 AM Dear Mr. Sullivan, Thank you for your excellent editorial on the dismal outputs associated with the corporate welfare scam of industrial wind in NYS. I attended an Environmental Groups meeting at NYSERDA's Albany Offices on 11/10/08, and when the FERC numbers for the Maple Ridge project, which showed a ZERO output in August & September of this year were presented to the NYSERDA reps present, the mind-boggling response we were given was, “You can’t judge something because it has a couple bad months to start. We’ll see how it does in 15-20 years.” I have attached my follow-up letter that I wrote to Dr. Elizabeth Thorndike after this annual 11/10/08 NYSERDA Environmental Groups meeting, as it was posted on National Wind Watch for those who are interested in the summary of that meeting, and included facts on wind energy. Thanks again to Mr. Sullivan for bringing to light the realities of industrial wind's dismal outputs. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Follow-up from NYSERDA Environmental Groups meeting, Nov. 10, 2008[ Alternate short URL for linking • HOME ]Author: Barton, Mary Kay Dear Dr. [Elizabeth] Thorndike [New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) board member], I was one of the attendees at NYSERDA’s Environmental Groups meeting in Albany on 11/10/08. I wanted to take this opportunity to thank you, and all the involved NYSERDA representatives, for the very informative meeting on the many energy issues we are facing today. I am looking forward to receiving the links to the Power Point presentations that were presented that day, as were promised. I also wanted to thank you very much for providing us a venue where NYS citizens can voice their concerns regarding intelligent energy choices for our state. I look forward to the meeting specific to the industrial wind issue that was discussed again this year. … My background as a NYS certified professional Health Educator, life-long organic gardener, Cornell-certified Master Gardener, Silver Lake Association Water Quality Chair serving as representative to Wyoming County Soil & Water & Silver Lake Watershed Commission, long-time National Wildlife Federation member/NWF-designated “Backyard Wildlife Habitat”, and mother who raised her twenty-something-year-old children in cloth diapers, is evidence of my life-long commitment to the environment. My concerns, as I voiced at the meeting that day, are in regard to the headlong rush to spend millions and millions of dollars on industrial wind — an unreliable, non-dispatchable, supposedly “green” technology. Unbelievably, Mr. St. Croix declared in his replies to our queries about wind, “You can’t judge something because it has a couple bad months to start. We’ll see how it does in 15-20 years.” In my humble opinion, this is not the kind of rationalization that should be the basis of determining intelligent energy choices in New York State. [And the fact is, we have seen how it's done in the past 15-20 years -- NWW Ed.] Mr. St. Croix’s willingness to give this kind of blind support to wind seems to be lacking the common sense that NYSERDA’s mission statement directs. NYSERDA’s mission, as stated on your website, is as a “public benefit corporation … who strives to improve the state’s environmental well-being … placing a premium on independent, objective analysis.” Currently however, much of the information on wind provided on NYSERDA’s website is nothing more than an AWEA promotion piece, repeating word for word many typical wind company claims. This is the furthest thing from independent objective scientific analysis I’ve ever seen. This needs to be immediately corrected. I would think that NYSERDA representatives who are still lead by principles of what’s right and wrong, rather than by preference of what’s the most profitable, would be appalled by this. There was a gentleman representing NYSERDA who was sitting behind you near the door taking notes, who asked those with specific suggestions on improving NYSERDA’s Toolkit and website to send them to him. Unfortunately, he did not give out his contact information. If you could let us know who he was, and his contact information, we would be glad to oblige his request for suggestions. At the end of the discussion specific to wind energy on Nov. 10, I was further dismayed as you noted what you had been previously hearing regarding the wind issue was that it was a “bird and bat issue”, and now you are hearing that it is “more of an aesthetics issue”. Apparently, we have not been doing a good job of getting our message across clearly. While these are certainly important secondary issues, the main problem with wind is that it is simply not a scientifically, economically, nor environmentally sound energy policy. What we are seeing in the case of wind energy is the very businessmen and investors who stand to make obscene profits at NYS taxpayers’ and ratepayers’ expense proposing wind as a solution to reduce CO2 emissions and thereby reduce global warming. To date, we have seen no independently reviewed scientific studies verifying their financially motivated claims. With some 60,000 industrial wind turbines in the world today, this should be very easy to do. It seems there is fear among many that genuinely challenging this “green” energy movement — which is backed by the same investment banks, big corporations, and politicians that backed the housing fiasco that took us all to the cleaners, means risking the loss of political funding. It is very unfortunate if this is, in fact, how our energy decisions are being determined today. While many may be well intentioned in this mad rush for all things “green”, sadly, most are completely misinformed about the realities of the goings-on of Big Wind in rural NYS. As I, and many others, cited the day of the 11/10/08 meeting, the blatant corruption and division in our communities that we are witnessing as a result of Big Wind LLC’s running amok is unbelievable! (Example: The former supervisor of a nearby town ushered wind in the back door before anyone knew what was going on, got an accommodating zoning law on the books before she left office, and then started her new position as Horizon Wind Energy’s Project Manager only 8 months after leaving office.) The job of good government is to foresee and prevent this kind of divisiveness, not promote it. So, PLEASE — we are looking to you folks, those we are trusting to responsibly serve their mission as a “public benefit corporation … placing a premium on objective analysis” — please give careful attention to our concerns and questions as you work to best serve the taxpayers and ratepayers of New York State. These are the questions I had at last year’s meeting, and am still waiting for answers to: 1.) What independent, transparent measurement has been done anywhere in the world demonstrating that wind projects have actually offset significant levels of CO2 throughout an electricity grid system? 2.) Considering the relatively small amount of highly variable energy actually produced per square mile of permanently disfigured landscapes, how many industrial wind turbines, scattered over how large an area, would it take to collectively deliver a capacity value equivalent to any conventional generating system — defining capacity value as the ability to produce specified amounts of energy at a specified rate at any time? 3.) How can wind’s variable “flutter”, which provides virtually no effective capacity, replace any generation that does provide effective capacity or be used to shore up an aging power plant infrastructure in the face of increased demand? 4.) NYSERDA’s reliance on a 20% capacity credit for wind (which assumes adequate forecasting techniques) would have significant implications for increasing the use of “spot market generation” if that 20% figure proved far too optimistic. This cost would most assuredly be passed on to the NYS ratepayers. How would NY electricity consumers know about the way NYISO would handle such a situation? 5.) Since NYS already gets nearly 50% of its electricity from the emissions-free sources of hydro @ 19%, and nuclear @ 29%, and since emissions-free is the goal — is it not ?!? — why waste millions of taxpayers’ and ratepayers’ dollars on the unreliable, non-dispatchable, inimical source of wind? Thank you for your time, and attention to our concerns in your work to facilitate intelligent energy choices in New York State. Sincerely,Mary Kay Barton, life-long NYS resident P.O. Box 69 Silver Lake, NY 14549 585-813-8173 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ I have also included a small sampling of information and videos I have collected on industrial wind over the past couple of years that if you aren’t aware of, you definitely should be. Setbacks as close as 500′ from the foundations of peoples’ homes are being pushed through in communities that are being exploited by Big Wind LLCs. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), our government’s source for energy statistics, in 2007 total nationwide electric generation from oil was only 1.2%, and most of that usage came from a tarry residual oil, or coal-like petroleum coke — both otherwise almost useless byproducts of refining. According to the EIA’s 2007 Annual Energy Outlook Report, wind provided 4/10 of 1% total nation-wide generation in 2005, and due to “considerable uncertainties”, “might provide 9/10 of 1% total nationwide generation by 2030″. We could devastate every inch of our beautiful New York countryside with industrial wind turbines, and it’s not going to do a thing to alleviate foreign oil dependence. Despite all of corporate wind’s propaganda claims, the basic facts regarding industrial wind remain the same — wind can’t dent a grape in the scheme of things. Plain and simple: 1.) While it’s true that all energy sources receive subsidies, wind is outrageously over-subsidized and can never be economically viable on its own. According to the EIA, on a dollar per MWh basis, wind receives $23.34 — compared to coal at $0.44; natural gas at $0.25; hydro at $0.67; and nuclear at $1.59. Together, coal, natural gas, hydro, and nuclear produce 95% of our nation’s electricity supply, and for each of these mainline conventional generators, we as ratepayers get extremely high reliability and performance — each with an effective capacity exceeding 99.99%. 2.) The subsidies for wind go for a power source that can not replace any conventional generation sources, because wind provides virtually no capacity value (can be relied on to be there when called upon) — which wind reps would have us believe is no big deal. Wind also requires constant “shadow capacity” — that is, conventional power sources to back up the inimical power offered by wind, highlighting the fact that wind can not replace our reliable, dispatchable power sources. 3.) Our taxes in the form of federal subsidies cover wind developments to the tune of 65%, while state incentives cover an additional 10%. No wonder wind garners the attention of the greedy! 4.) All conventional generation sources are controllable and dispatchable — wind is neither. 5.) The very reason for the existence of the industrial wind industry is their claim of CO2 savings. With some 60,000 industrial wind turbines encumbering the world today, NO coal plants have been shut down, many new ones continue to be built (one every four days in China), and NO proof of CO2 savings has been shown anywhere in the world. 6.) The thermal implications of trying to balance destabilizing “wind flutter” on the grid are enormous. Wind’s volatility forces conventional generators to have to work harder, thus, more inefficiently — increasing their CO2 emissions, in order to balance things out. 7.) The Production Tax Credit (PTC) extension for wind for just one year (2009) will cost American taxpayers $7 billion dollars — on top of the PTCs already being paid from previous years. Massachusetts Secretary of Energy Ian Bowles recently said, “Renewable plants have an enormous subsidy under the Renewable [Energy] Portfolio Standards law. If they still can’t compete, they probably shouldn’t be built.” And what do we get, besides the above list, for continuing to foot the bill for this poster child of corporate welfare at American taxpayers’ expense? - A resource typically built hundreds of miles away from load centers where the electricity is needed, which will require at least another trillion dollars of taxpayer money to build the additional transmission lines that will be needed through undeveloped, rich habitat; - The requirement that up to 90% of the electricity from wind be matched with redundant generation to ensure reliability when the winds die down — ensuring taxpayers will have to pay twice as additional generation is needed. As Robert Bryce states in his recent book Gusher of Lies, limited liability wind companies are “the electricity sector’s equivalent of ethanol”, which he documents as one of the worst energy “scams”. He continues, “The hype [for wind] has lost all connection with reality.” Watch as a wind turbine explodes, which the Discovery Channel documented as hurling debris for at least a 1/2 mile, and then tell us you would want these industrial installations placed only 500-800′ from your house: www.wind-watch.org/video-turbinecollapses.php Here’s a recent ABC news clip in which Charlie Gibson reported the truth about the intense sound associated with these immense machines. You should also note that this “little” wind farm is composed of only 4 turbines, far removed from people’s homes (a far cry from what’s going on in WNY): www.wind-watch.org/news/?p=18885 Here’s a news clip on the effects turbine noise has had on those living too close: watch.ctv.ca/news/clip99973#clip99973 (click here to download 7.6-MB MP4 file)